State Revenues In February Exceeded Budgeted Estimates

Friday, March 15, 2019

Tennessee Department of Finance and Administration Commissioner Stuart McWhorter Friday announced that Tennessee tax revenues exceeded budgeted estimates in February. Overall February revenues were $953.8 million, which is $68.9 million more than the state received in February 2018 and $39.9 million more than the budgeted estimate. The growth rate for February was 7.79 percent.

“The state experienced sound growth in its two largest contributors to the state’s tax base, state sales and use tax revenues and franchise and excise tax revenues, compared to last February,” Commissioner McWhorter said. “All other revenues combined also exceeded the state’s budgeted estimate. 

“On a year-to-date basis, state revenue collections are well positioned to finish the fiscal year ahead of our budgeted estimates. Typically, more than one half of our corporate revenues for the year are accounted for in the months of April through June; however, due to the volatile nature of these taxes we will remain cautiously optimistic and continue to manage conservatively. ”

General fund revenues exceeded the budgeted estimates in the amount of $40.4 million while the four other funds that share in state tax revenues were $0.5 million less than the estimates.

Sales tax revenues were $22.4 million more than the estimate for February and were 5.27 percent more than February 2018. For seven months, revenues are $177.9 million higher than estimated. The year-to-date growth rate for seven months was 5.79 percent.

Franchise and excise tax revenues combined were $7.9 million more than the budgeted estimate in February, and the growth rate compared to February 2018 was 51.34 percent. For seven months, revenues are $5.0 million less than the estimate and the year-to-date growth rate is negative 1.33 percent. However, adjusting for the one-time payments received last fiscal year the recurring year-to-date underlying growth rate is 3.81 percent.

Gasoline and motor fuel revenues for February increased by 11.77 percent compared to February 2018 and were $1.6 million less than the budgeted estimate of $90.4 million.  For seven months revenues have exceeded estimates by $6.4 million.

Motor vehicle registration revenues were $4.2 million more than the February estimate, and on a year-to-date basis they are $20.0 million more than estimates.

Tobacco taxes were $0.3 million more than the February budgeted estimate of $18.4 million. For seven months, they are $7.1 million less than the budgeted estimate.

Privilege taxes were $1.9 million more than the February estimate, and on a year-to-date basis, August through February, revenues are $7.5 million more than the estimate.

Business taxes were $0.6 million more than the February estimate. For seven months, revenues are $11.6 million more than the budgeted estimate.

Hall income tax revenues for the month were $0.5 million more than the budgeted estimate. On a year-to-date basis income tax revenues are $1.7 million less than the estimate.

Inheritance and estate taxes were $1.8 million more than the February estimate.

All other tax receipts exceeded estimates by a net of $1.9 million.

Year-to-date revenues for seven months were $222.9 million more than the budgeted estimate. The general fund recorded $195.3 million in excess of the budgeted estimates and the four other funds $27.6 million.

The budgeted revenue estimates for 2018-2019 are based on the State Funding Board’s consensus recommendation of November 27, 2017 and adopted by the second session of the 110th General Assembly in May 2018. Also incorporated in the estimates are any changes in revenue enacted during the 2018 session of the General Assembly. These estimates are available on the state’s website at https://www.tn.gov/content/tn/finance/fa/fa-budget-information/fa-budget-rev.html.


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