Randy Smith: SEC Picks Week 4

  • Thursday, September 19, 2024
  • Randy Smith
Randy Smith
Randy Smith
25% of the 2024 college football season is in the books and so far I've picked winners in the SEC correctly 39 times in 44 games. (89%) including going 11-2 last week.This week, Alabama and Georgia are idle before their much anticipated contest next weekend.

Arkansas at Auburn
The Razorbacks roll into Auburn, AL on Saturday to face the Tigers in a game that should turn out to be very competitive. Each team is 2-1 on the year so far and neither team was picked to be in the SEC's upper echelon this fall.
Auburn is favored by four points in this one which is more pivotal for Hogs' coach Sam Pittman. An Arkansas win would take some of the heat off at least for a while but...Auburn is simply a little bit better football team.
Auburn 33 Arkansas 24

Florida at Mississippi State
Florida head coach Billy Napier now has the hottest seat in the Southeastern Conference. He was booed unmercifully following last week's loss to Texas A&M in Gainesville. Most SEC pundits are predicting he won't last the rest of this season. On the other side of the field is Mississippi State and the Bulldogs were blown out last week by unranked Toledo 41-17. Fact is...these are two of the worst teams in the SEC and if it were possible, they would both lose.
Mississippi State 27 Florida 17

Ohio at Kentucky
The Wildcats came close to one of the biggest upsets in recent memory last week as they lost 13-12 to the Georgia Bulldogs. Coach Mark Stoops pulled out all the stops in trying to pull the upset but he came up just a bit short. For other teams in the SEC, he may have exposed some weaknesses in the Georgia squad. This week the 'Cats are a three touchdown pick over Ohio as they look to improve on their 1-2 start.
Kentucky 35 Ohio 14

UCLA at LSU
LSU hasn't played well yet this season. They were able to escape South Carolina with a win after falling behind 17-0 but they were very fortunate. LSU is favored by three touchdowns or more but is it the LSU we thought it would be in the pre-season or is it the one that fell behind the Gamecocks or the one that lost to Southern Cal in the opener. Coach Brian Kelly has been frustrated so far and so have the Tiger faithful. They're ranked 16th in the country but they have a long way to go if they make the playoffs.
LSU 38 UCLA 23

Vanderbilt at Missouri
Just when you thought Vandy had broken through and become a decent football team, they lose to Georgia State last week in Atlanta. The Commodores were favored by eight points and lost 36-32. That loss started the Vandy fans to grumbling once again on social media...even after they had started the season 2-0 and excited the fan base. Missouri struggled a bit last week before coming from behind to beat Boston College. Mizzu will win this week pretty handily.
Missouri 40 Vanderbilt 22

Georgia Southern at Ole Miss
One reason media folks are so high on Ole Miss making the playoffs is the fact that the Rebs schedule is pretty light. Ole Miss is 3-0 with wins over Middle Tennessee, Furman and Wake Forest. This week Georgia Southern provides the competition which isn't much because the Rebs are favored by 35 points. It remains to be seen if playing these light weights will hurt Ole Miss when they start playing better teams. That won't happen until October 12th when Ole Miss plays at LSU.
Ole Miss 54 Georgia Southern 14

Akron at South Carolina
Last week the Gamecocks blew a 17 point lead at home before losing to LSU 36-33. Before the Bengal Tigers rallied for the win, South Carolina looked like a team that should be ranked in the top 25 poll. But...the Gamecocks were outscored 36-16 down the stretch and lost the game. This week the Akron Zips provide the competition which won't be a lot. The Gamecocks should roll to an easy win this week.
South Carolina 38 Akron 14

Bowling Green at Texas A&M
Despite losing their season opener at home to Notre Dame, the Aggies are still ranked in the top 25 this week, coming in at number 25. A&M fans seem to be very happy with new head coach Mike Elko and this team keeps getting better and better with each passing week. The Aggies are favored by 3-4 touchdowns in the game played this weekend in College Station. I don't think Texas A&M will be a championship contender this fall but they can sure play the spoiler.
Texas A&M 33 Bowling Green 7

Louisiana-Monroe at Texas
After Georgia's one point win at Kentucky the Texas Longhorns moved into the number one spot in the polls. Starting quarterback Quinn Ewers who suffered an oblique injury in last week's win over Texas-San Antonio, is listed as questionable and back-up QB Arch Manning will likely see more playing time. Texas fans got a look into the future last week as Manning passed for over 200 yards and threw four TD passes. Texas wins big no matter who plays QB 1.
Texas 52 ULM 14

Tennessee at Oklahoma
This game will be the biggest test so far for the Tennessee Volunteers, All the media pundits are talking about the Big Orange being a real national championship contender and I'm one of them. The Vols seem to have the perfect blend of offense and defense but if Oklahoma pulls off the win, we may all have to reevaluate. Oklahoma is a very good football team and they're listed as a seven point underdog. So...this game is very important if the Vols make the playoffs. If they don't get in the field, we'll know why.
Tennessee 33 Oklahoma 23


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Randy Smith can be reached at rsmithsports@epbfi.com

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